FactReal

QUICK FACTS: Politics, News, Economy, Religion, History…For Busy People!

Posts Tagged ‘Elections’

LEVIN: History of Contentious Elections before 2020 (Transcript, Video: 8/6/2023)

Posted by FactReal on August 7, 2023

Yesterday, constitutional lawyer and author Mark Levin on his TV show ‘Life, Liberty & Levin’ presented a quick history of the most contentious presidential elections in U.S. history — so contentious that one almost led to civil war.The important point here is that during these historical electoral crises Congress made the decisions – not the Department of Justice, not prosecutors.

Levin read and commented from: 8 Most Contentious US Presidential Elections
By Sarah Pruitt (Original: April 26, 2016; Updated: Aug. 21, 2020)

Video:

RUSH TRANSCRIPT: MARK LEVIN’S REMARKS (Aired 8/6/2023)
History is lost on prosecutors. It’s lost on all these debate shows. It’s lost among lawyers.They talk about January 6: “Oh, it was an insurrection? No, it wasn’t.

We had contentious presidential elections in the past, I mean, really contentious. Some almost led to civil wars. One did.

1800

Thomas Jefferson and his chosen V.P. pick, Aaron Burr, tied for first place [back then the ballots were separate for president and vice-president, even though they might run in the same party] 73-73 due to a communication error among Democratic-Republican electors (or a Burr-led conspiracy, depending on whom you believe). President John Adams, a member of the rival Federalist Party, managed only 65 votes.

For the first of only two times in history, the election went to the House of Representatives.

They had over 30 votes, back and forth, and back and forth. The House was to choose the next president. Alexander Hamilton had enormous power. He disliked Jefferson immensely, but he hated Aaron Burr.

So finally what happens is:

Alexander Hamilton, the nation’s first treasury secretary, turned the tide by lobbying his fellow Federalists to throw their support to Jefferson.

Couple years later – the famous duel that took place between Burr and Hamilton where Burr killed Hamilton and then Burr fled the country.

It seems a little more contentious than what took place on January 6th in the last [presidential] election. But there’s more here.

1824

By this time, the Federalist Party had dissolved, and all four candidates for president were Democratic-Republicans. “Old Hickory” Andrew Jackson, hero of the War of 1812, won the popular vote by fewer than 39,000 ballots, and captured 99 electoral votes; Secretary of State John Quincy Adams took 84 electoral votes, with 41 going to Treasury Secretary William Crawford and 37 to House Speaker Henry Clay. As no candidate earned a majority of electoral votes, the election again went to the House of Representatives. Clay was eliminated from contention (only three candidates could be considered) but still controlled the House.

After a month of back-room negotiations, Clay’s supporters largely threw their weight behind Adams[.]

Even though he got less votes than Jackson, less electoral college votes than Jackson. So Adams would become president.

When Adams chose Clay as his secretary of state soon after his inauguration, an enraged Jackson called it a “corrupt bargain.” Quitting his Senate post, he vowed to come back and win in 1828, which he did at the head of a new Democratic Party, toppling Adams (by then leader of the National Republican Party) after only one term.

This almost led to a civil war.

1860

The presidential election of 1860 wasn’t just contentious—it tore the nation apart. Abraham Lincoln, the chosen nominee of the fledgling Republican Party and a steadfast opponent of slavery, wasn’t even on the ballot in most Southern states. While the Democratic Party went with Lincoln’s Illinois rival, Senator Stephen Douglas, as their candidate, the southern branch of the party defected, choosing sitting Vice President John Breckenridge as its candidate. Sen. John Bell of Tennessee rounded out the race on the ticket of the new Constitutional Union Party. Lincoln won only 40 percent of the popular vote but took most of the electoral votes in the North, along with California and Oregon. Breckenridge won the electoral votes in most of the South, along with Maryland and Delaware; Bell won Tennessee, Kentucky and Virginia, while Douglas captured only Missouri, despite finishing second in the popular vote. Just weeks after Lincoln’s victory, South Carolina voted to secede. Six more Southern states followed, forming the Confederate States of America in February 1861, with Jefferson Davis as president.

I’d say that was pretty contentious, but also gave us Abraham Lincoln.

1876

Democratic Governor Samuel Tilden of New York won 250,000 more ballots in the popular vote than his Republican opponent, Rutherford B. Hayes, and snagged 19 more electoral votes. But Tilden was still one electoral vote short of the required majority (185), and 20 votes remained uncounted: Florida, Louisiana and South Carolina remained too close to call, as each party accused the other of fraud, while in Oregon an elector was declared illegal and replaced, with controversial results. As the crisis mounted, threats of another civil war loomed.

So you had a crisis here – the greatest electoral crisis in American history. So what happened here?

Congress established a 15-member commission of senators, congressmen and Supreme Court justices (including seven Republicans, seven Democrats and an independent) to decide the election.

So they said, “We can’t figure this out; let’s have a commission.”

So this is about as far from the popular vote and the electorate that you can get. But keep something in mind: Congress is making all these decisions. Not the Department of Justice, not a prosecutor. Every one of these cases where a fraud is alleged – whether there is lobbying, whether there is pressure on legislatures, so forth and so on. Is the give and take of politics.

Congress has the final say under the Constitution. Congress and nobody else.

Congress established a 15-member commission of senators, congressmen and Supreme Court justices (including seven Republicans, seven Democrats and an independent) to decide the election.

(…)

After the swing vote turned in Hayes’ favor, he was awarded all 20 electoral votes from the disputed states, giving him the necessary 185. After the Democrats threatened to filibuster and block the official vote counting, the issue was settled in negotiations at D.C.’s Wormley Hotel in February 1877. The Democrats would accept Hayes’ victory provided that Hayes remove all federal troops from the South, among other conditions. The compromise consolidated Democratic control of the region, effectively ending Reconstruction and reversing the gains that African Americans had made during the post-Civil War era.

So the Democrats not only did that, they undermined the efforts that had been undertaken by a Republican president earlier, Ulysses S. Grant, to send the U.S. army into the South to destroy the klan. All that changed as a result of the 1876 election.

Later they would pass a statute to try to work all these things out.

But it’s amazing. Nobody was indicted, nobody was charged with anything. It’s just incredible.

2000

The election of 2000: Al Gore, George W. Bush. All came down to Florida. Couple hundred votes. Al Gore brings the first lawsuit. It becomes litigation hell. Different districts throughout the state, …by both sides, trying to find judges that would uphold this part of law, that part of the law. Meanwhile, the radical left-wing controlled Florida Supreme Court steps in and keeps changing the law, changing the law, changing the law to try and get Gore over the fence.

Then, the U.S. Supreme Court steps in and says, “It’s enough. That’s enough. The voting has to stop at some point. The Florida Supreme Court can’t keep changing the rules. They are destroying one person, one vote – the entire concept.” And so, George Bush winds up being the winner and he wins the Electoral College by 5 votes. He also lost the popular vote by over half a million votes.

It was a very contentious election and we all know it.

###

This post might be updated later on.

Posted in Elections, History | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Pending Midterm House Election Results (Nov. 22, 2022)

Posted by FactReal on November 22, 2022

These are the pending election results for the U.S. House as of Nov. 22, 2022, before 5PM ET.
This page will be updated.

AP-House2022NovElectionsSoFar2022-11-22at3-15PM-ET

AP: U.S. House Races

PENDING RACES TO BE CALLED BY THE MEDIA

U.S. HOUSE
Republicans already surpassed the 218 needed to win majority of the 435 seats.

SUMMARY
Democrats Republicans Source
213 219 RealClearPolitics
212 219 The Associated Press/Google
212 219 Fox News

According to RealClear Politics:

State District Democrat Republican % Reporting
1 California CA District 3 Jones 47.8 Kiley 52.2  73%
2 California CA District 13 Gray 49.7 Duarte 50.3  93%
3 Colorado: CO District 3 Frisch 49.9 Boebert 50.1  99%
According to AP/Google, there are 4 races pending:
– Three races (CA-03, CA-13, CO-03) are leaning Republican.
– Only Alaska is leaning Democrat.
Note: There is only one Democrat (Mary Peltola). Votes for Republican Sarah Palin are being diluted by Republican Nick Begich and Libertarian Chris Bye.AP-AlaskaRaceElectionResults2022-11-22
State District Democrat Republican % Reporting
1 Alaska AK District 1 Peltola 48.7 Palin 25.8

Nick Begich 23.4%

 99%
2 California CA District 3 Jones 47.8 Kiley 52.2  71%
3 California CA District 13 Gray 49.7 Duarte 50.3  96%
4 Colorado: CO District 3 Frisch 49.9 Boebert 50.1  99%
According to FoxNews:
State District Democrat Republican % Reporting
1 Alaska AK District 1 Peltola 48.68 Palin 25.79

Nick Begich 23.38

 99%
2 California CA District 3 Jones 47.83 Kiley 52.17  71.39%
3 California CA District 13 Gray 49.67 Duarte 50.33 95.69%
4 Colorado: CO District 3 Frisch 49.92 Boebert 50.08  99%
About the Alaska race
FoxNews reported this morning: (Emphasis added)

Alaska’s At-Large Congressional District still remains uncalled, held up by the vote counting process of the state’s newly implemented ranked-choice voting system.

The seat has been rated by Fox News’ Power Rankings as “lean Democratic” as a result of the ranked-choice system that gives incumbent Democrat Rep. Mary Peltola an advantage against her Republican opponents, former Gov. Sarah Palin and Nick Begich.

Peltola led in the first round of the vote, with Palin in second and Begich in third, but failed to secure 50%, meaning those who voted for the candidate with the least number of votes will have their second choice vote reallocated to the other candidates until one reaches 50%.

Election officials will commence the counting of second- and third-place votes Nov. 23, meaning that Alaskans may know the final outcome of the House race by end of day, if all goes as expected.

About the Colorado race
Fox News also reported today:

Though the race qualifies for a recount under Colorado state law, Frisch conceded to Boebert on Friday. However, the Associated Press has still not called the race as of Tuesday.

Posted in Elections | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Election 2022 Data: 75% Incumbent Governors Won. No Big losses/Wins for Either Party.

Posted by FactReal on November 17, 2022

NOV. 2022 ELECTION WAS THE INCUMBENT ELECTION
There were 36 gubernatorial seats up for re-election on Nov. 8th, 2022. Republicans were at a disadvantage since they had to defend 20 seats while Democrats only 16. (See tables below.)

Notes:
– Data are based on what RealClearPolitics.com has declared as projected winners so far.
– Arizona might challenge the results. Margin between the two candidates is 0.6%. Also, there were
problems in Arizona’s polling stations on election day.

Findings
– There were no big losses or wins for either party.
– Incumbents were the winners: 27 out of 36 incumbents were re-elected (75%).
– Democrats picked up 3 seats: Arizona, Maryland, Massachusetts.
– Republicans picked up 1 seat: Nevada.
– Fourteen Republicans won with high margins (15%+).
– Six Democrats won with very low margins (less than 7%).

– Fourteen Republicans won with high margins (15%+):

State Margin
1 Alabama 37.7%
2 Alaska 27.2%
3 Arkansas 28.0%
4 Florida 19.4%
5 Idaho 40.2%
6 Iowa 18.5%
7 Nebraska 23.7%
8 New Hampshire 15.5%
9 Ohio 25.5%
10 South Carolina 17.3%
11 South Dakota 26.8%
12 Tennessee 32.0%
13 Vermont 47.0%
14 Wyoming 58.3%

– Six Democrats won with very low margins: (less than 7%):

State Margin
1 Arizona 0.6%
2 Kansas 2.3%
3 New Mexico 6.4%
4 New York 5.7%
5 Oregon 3.4%
6 Wisconsin 3.4%

FULL LIST
Based on data on 11/17/2022 at 11:37AM ET from:
RealClear Politics (Archive)
BallotPedia

Republican
Democrat
AFTER NOV. 2022 ELECTION
# State Incumbent? Result Democrat % Republican % Diff % Notes Rpt’g
1 Alabama  Incumbent GOP Hold Flowers 29.2 Ivey 66.9 37.7% GOP high margin 97%
2 Alaska  Incumbent GOP Hold Gara 23.8 Dunleavy 51 27.2% GOP high margin 81%
3 Arizona  New Dem Pickup Hobbs 50.3 Lake 49.7 0.6% Dems low margin 99%
4 Arkansas  New GOP Hold Jones 35.1 Huckabee Sanders 63.1 28.0% GOP high margin 95%
5 California  Incumbent Dem Hold Newsom 59 Dahle 41 18.0% 83%
6 Colorado  Incumbent Dem Hold Polis 58.5 Ganahl 39.2 19.3% 99%
7 Connecticut  Incumbent Dem Hold Lamont 56 Stefanowski 43 13.0% 99%
8 Florida  Incumbent GOP Hold Crist 40 DeSantis 59.4 19.4% GOP high margin 99%
9 Georgia  Incumbent GOP Hold Abrams 45.9 Kemp 53.4 7.5% 99%
10 Hawaii  New Dem Hold Green 63.2 Aiona 36.8 26.4% 99%
11 Idaho  Incumbent GOP Hold Heidt 20.3 Little 60.5 40.2% GOP high margin 99%
12 Illinois  Incumbent Dem Hold Pritzker 54.4 Bailey 42.9 11.5% 98%
13 Iowa  Incumbent GOP Hold DeJear 39.5 Reynolds 58 18.5% GOP high margin 99%
14 Kansas  Incumbent Dem Hold Kelly 49.6 Schmidt 47.3 2.3% Dems low margin 99%
15 Maine  Incumbent Dem Hold Mills 56.2 Lepage 41.9 14.3% 94%
16 Maryland  New Dem Pickup Moore 63.4 Cox 33.5 29.9% 98%
17 Massachusetts  New Dem Pickup Healey 63.7 Diehl 34.6 29.1% 92%
18 Michigan  Incumbent Dem Hold Whitmer 54.4 Dixon 43.9 10.5% 99%
19 Minnesota  Incumbent Dem Hold Walz 52.3 Jensen 44.6 7.7% 99%
20 Nebraska  New GOP Hold Blood 36 Pillen 59.7 23.7% GOP high margin 99%
21 Nevada  New GOP Pickup Sisolak 47.4 Lombardo 48.7 1.3% Dem. incumbent defeated 99%
22 New Hampshire  Incumbent GOP Hold Sherman 41.5 Sununu 57 15.5% GOP high margin 99%
23 New Mexico  Incumbent Dem Hold Lujan Grisham 52 Ronchetti 45.6 6.4% Dems low margin 99%
24 New York  Incumbent Dem Hold Hochul 52.8 Zeldin 47.1 5.7% Dems low margin 92%
25 Ohio  Incumbent GOP Hold Whaley 37.1 DeWine 62.6 25.5% GOP high margin 95%
26 Oklahoma  Incumbent GOP Hold Hofmeister 41.8 Stitt 55.4 13.6% 99%
27 Oregon  New Dem Hold Kotek 47 Drazan 43.6 3.4% Dems low margin 99%
28 Pennsylvania  New Dem Hold Shapiro 56.3 Mastriano 41.9 14.4% 99%
29 Rhode Island  Incumbent Dem Hold McKee 57.9 Kalus 38.9 19.0% 97%
30 South Carolina  Incumbent GOP Hold Cunningham 40.7 McMaster 58 17.3% GOP high margin 99%
31 South Dakota  Incumbent GOP Hold Smith 35.2 Noem 62 26.8% GOP high margin 99%
32 Tennessee  Incumbent GOP Hold Martin 32.9 Lee 64.9 32.0% GOP high margin 99%
33 Texas  Incumbent GOP Hold O’Rourke 43.8 Abbott 54.8 11.0% 99%
34 Vermont  Incumbent GOP Hold Siegel 24 Scott 71 47.0% GOP high margin 98%
35 Wisconsin  Incumbent Dem Hold Evers 51.2 Michels 47.8 3.4% Dems low margin 99%
36 Wyoming  Incumbent GOP Hold Livingston 15.8 Gordon 74.1 58.3% GOP high margin 99%
Incumbents were the winners.
No big losses/wins for either party.

– Democrats picked up 3 seats: Arizona, Maryland, Massachusetts.
– Republicans picked up 1 seat: Nevada.
GovernorsElection2022-11-17at11-37AM-ET
Republican gubernatorial seats up for election:
# State Party Status Governor
1 Alabama GOP Incumbent Kay Ivey
2 Alaska GOP Incumbent Mike Dunleavy
3 Arizona GOP Term limited Doug Ducey
4 Arkansas GOP Term limited Asa Hutchinson
5 Florida GOP Incumbent Ron DeSantis
6 Georgia GOP Incumbent Brian Kemp
7 Idaho GOP Incumbent Brad Little
8 Iowa GOP Incumbent Kim Reynolds
9 Maryland GOP Term limited Larry Hogan
10 Massachusetts GOP Retiring Charlie Baker
11 Nebraska GOP Term limited Pete Ricketts
12 New Hampshire GOP Incumbent Chris Sununu
13 Ohio GOP Incumbent Mike DeWine
14 Oklahoma GOP Incumbent Kevin Stitt
15 South Carolina GOP Incumbent Henry McMaster
16 South Dakota GOP Incumbent Kristi Noem
17 Tennessee GOP Incumbent Bill Lee
18 Texas GOP Incumbent Greg Abbott
19 Vermont GOP Incumbent Phil Scott
20 Wyoming GOP Incumbent Mark Gordon
Democrat gubernatorial seats up for election:
# State Party Status Governor
1 California Dem Incumbent Gavin Newsom
2 Colorado Dem Incumbent Jared Polis
3 Connecticut Dem Incumbent Ned Lamont
4 Hawaii Dem Term limited David Ige
5 Illinois Dem Incumbent J.B. Pritzker
6 Kansas Dem Incumbent Laura Kelly
7 Maine Dem Incumbent Janet Mills
8 Michigan Dem Incumbent Gretchen Whitmer
9 Minnesota Dem Incumbent Tim Walz
10 Nevada Dem Incumbent Steve Sisolak
11 New Mexico Dem Incumbent Michelle Lujan
12 New York Dem Incumbent Kathy Hochul
13 Oregon Dem Term limited Kate Brown
14 Pennsylvania Dem Term limited Tom Wolf
15 Rhode Island Dem Incumbent Dan McKee
16 Wisconsin Dem Incumbent Tony Evers

Posted in Elections | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Election 2022: 72% Incumbents Won in the Senate. Democrats Got 1 Seat Only.

Posted by FactReal on November 15, 2022

NOV. 2022 ELECTION WAS THE INCUMBENT ELECTION
There were 35 Senate seats up for re-election on Nov. 8th, 2022. Republicans were at a disadvantage since they had to defend 21 seats while Democrats only 14. (See tables below.)

Summary
– At the end, Democrats were able to get only 1 extra seat (Pennsylvania).
– This election was the incumbent election: 25 incumbent Senators were re-elected.
– One interim was re-elected.
– Six candidates replaced retiring Senators with no party change.
– The Georgia seat is to be decided in the December runoff election.

After Election
    1  GOP loss, DEM win (PA)
  25  Incumbents re-elected
    1  Interim re-elected (CA)
    6  Replaced retiring Senators
    1  Pending election (AK): GOP projected winner
    1  Runoff election (GA)
  35  TOTAL
Before Election: Senate Seats up for Election
Republicans = 20 seats:
-1 Alabama
-2 Alaska
-3 Arkansas
-4 Florida
-5 Idaho
-6 Indiana
-7 Iowa
-8 Kansas
-9 Kentucky
-10 Louisiana
-11 Missouri
-12 North Carolina
-13 North Dakota
-14 Ohio
-15 Oklahoma
-16 Pennsylvania
-17 South Carolina
-18 South Dakota
-19 Utah
-20 Wisconsin
-21 Oklahoma (Special Election)
Dems = 14 seats
-1 Arizona
-2 California
-3 Colorado
-4 Connecticut
-5 Georgia
-6 Hawaii
-7 Illinois
-8 Maryland
-9 Nevada
-10 New Hampshire
-11 New York
-12 Oregon
-13 Vermont
-14 Washington
Senators Retiring & Projected Replacements
Six of the seven retiring Senators were replaced with candidates from the same party. Pennsylvania was the only one who had a GOP retiring Senator who will be replaced by a Democrat.
 State  Retiring   Senators  Before   Election  After   Election  Projected   Winner
Alabama  Richard Shelby  GOP  GOP   Hold  Britt 66.6
Missouri  Roy Blunt  GOP  GOP   Hold  Schmitt 55.4
N. Carolina  Richard Burr  GOP  GOP Hold  Budd 50.7
Ohio  Rob Portman  GOP  GOP Hold  Vance 53.2
Oklahoma  Jim Inhofe  GOP  GOP Hold  Mullin 61.8
Pennsylvania  Pat Toomey  GOP  Dem Pickup  Fetterman 51.0
Vermont  Patrick Leahy  Dem  Dem Hold  Welch 68.4

FULL LIST
Based on data on 11/15/2022 at 4PM ET from:
RealClearPolitics (Archive)
Ballotpedia: Seats up for election

BEFORE NOV. 2022 ELECTION AFTER NOV. 2022 ELECTION
Seats
up
State Incumbent? Senator Before Election After Election Incumbent re-elected? Democrat Republican Rept’g
1 AL   Retiring Richard Shelby GOP GOP Hold Replaced
retiring Senator
Boyd 30.9 Britt 66.6 97%
2 AK  Incumbent Lisa Murkowski GOP GOP Hold Pending – GOP expected winner Chesbro 9.5 Tshibaka 44.2
Murkowski 42.8
71%
3 AZ  Incumbent Mark Kelly Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Kelly 51.4 Masters 46.5 98%
4 AR  Incumbent John Boozman GOP GOP Hold Incumbent James 30.9 Boozman 65.8 94%
5 CA  Interim Alex Padilla Dem Dem Hold Interim re-elected Padilla 60.5 Meuser 39.5 68%
6 CO  Incumbent Michael Bennet Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Bennet 55.7 O’Dea 41.4 99%
7 CT  Incumbent Richard Blumenthal Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Blumenthal 57.6 Levy 42.4 99%
8 FL  Incumbent Marco Rubio GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Demings 41.3 Rubio 57.7 99%
9 GA  Incumbent Raphael Warnock Dem Runoff Pending Runoff Warnock 49.4 Walker 48.5 99%
10 HA  Incumbent Brian Schatz Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Schatz 71.2 McDermott 26.0 99%
11 ID  Incumbent Mike Crapo GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Roth 28.7 Crapo 60.7 99%
12 IL  Incumbent Tammy Duckworth Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Duckworth 56.3 Salvi 42.0 91%
13 IN  Incumbent Todd Young GOP GOP Hold Incumbent McDermott 37.9 Young 58.6 97%
14 IA  Incumbent Chuck Grassley GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Franken 43.8 Grassley 56.0 99%
15 KS  Incumbent Jerry Moran GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Holland 36.9 Moran 60.1 99%
16 KY  Incumbent Rand Paul GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Booker 38.2 Paul 61.8 99%
17 LA  Incumbent John Kennedy GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Chambers 17.8 Kennedy 61.6 99%
18 MD  Incumbent Chris Van Hollen Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Van Hollen 63.6 Chaffee 36.3 92%
19 MO  Retiring Roy Blunt GOP GOP Hold Replaced
retiring Senator
Busch Valentine 42.1 Schmitt 55.4 99%
20 NV  Incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Cortez Masto 48.8 Laxalt 48.0 98%
21 NH  Incumbent Maggie Hassan Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Hassan 53.5 Bolduc 44.4 99%
22 NY  Incumbent Chuck Schumer Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Schumer 56.4 Pinion 43.1 90%
23 NC  Retiring Richard Burr GOP GOP Hold Replaced
retiring Senator
Beasley 47.1 Budd 50.6 99%
24 ND  Incumbent John Hoeven GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Christiansen 25.0 Hoeven 56.4 99%
25 OH  Retiring Rob Portman GOP GOP Hold Replaced
retiring Senator
Ryan 46.7 Vance 53.2 95%
26 OK  Incumbent James Lankford GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Horn 32.1 Lankford 64.3 99%
27 OK Special  Retiring Jim Inhofe GOP GOP Hold Replaced
retiring Senator
Horn 35.2 Mullin 61.8 99%
28 OR  Incumbent Ron Wyden Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Wyden 56.1 Perkins 40.9 95%
29 PA  Retiring Pat Toomey GOP Dem Pickup GOP loss,
DEM win
Fetterman 51.0 Oz 46.5 98%
30 SC  Incumbent Tim Scott GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Matthews 37.0 Scott 62.9 99%
31 SD  Incumbent John Thune GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Bengs 26.2 Thune 69.6 99%
32 UT  Incumbent Mike Lee GOP GOP Hold Incumbent “independent” McMullin Lee 54.0 89%
33 VT  Retiring Patrick Leahy Dem Dem Hold Replaced
retiring Senator
Welch 68.4 Malloy 28.1 99%
34 WA  Incumbent Patty Murray Dem Dem Hold Incumbent Murray 57.1 Smiley 42.7 93%
35 WI  Incumbent Ron Johnson GOP GOP Hold Incumbent Barnes 49.4 Johnson 50.4 99%

Posted in Elections | Tagged: | Leave a Comment »

Pending Midterm Election Results (Nov. 14, 2022)

Posted by FactReal on November 14, 2022

These are the pending election results as of Nov. 14, 2022, @ 7:30PM ET.
We’ll update this page as new info comes in.

Races called by the media, but votes still being counted.

These are the numbers as of today at 7:30PM ET:
NEVADA:

NevadaSenateLaxaltMasto2022-11-14at8.03PM-ET

NEVADA: RealClearPolitics
Final Results  97.7%% Reporting % Votes  Difference
 Dem  Catherine Cortez Masto    48.8%     488,320   6,582
 GOP  Adam Laxalt    48.1%     481,738
 NON  None of these candidates      1.20%       12,075
 NPD  Barry Lindemann      0.80%         7,848
 IAP  Barry Rubinson      0.50%          5,079
 LIB  Neil Scott      0.60%          6,250
TOTALS  100.0%   1,001,310

ARIZONA:
ArizonaSenateMasterKelly2022-11-14pm

ARIZONA: RealClearPolitics
Final Results  98% Reporting % Votes Difference
Dem  Mark Kelly   51.5%   1,298,562  126,724
GOP  Blake Masters   46.4%   1,171,838
LIB  Marc Victor     2.1%        52,611
XNA  Write-ins        0%            0
 TOTALS  100.0%   2,523,011

PENDING RACES TO BE CALLED BY THE MEDIA

GOVERNORS
Data via RealClear Politics
So far: Democrats=23 v. Republicans=25.

Pending races: 2 (Alaska and Arizona)
ALASKA
AlaskaGovernorRace2022-11-14at7-39PM-ET

ALASKA: RealClearPolitics
Final Results  71.7% Reporting % Votes  Difference
Dem  Les Gara     23.1%    49,596
GOP  Mike Dunleavy     52.1%   111,897  62,301
GOP  Charlie Pierce      4.5%       9,778
IND  Bill Walker    20.0%     43,203
XNA  Write-ins      0.2%         484
 TOTALS  100.00%  214,958

ARIZONA
ArizonaGovernorRaceLakeHobbs2022-11-14at7.43PM-ET

ARIZONA: RealClearPolitics
Final Results  93.5% Reporting % Votes  Difference
Dem  Katie Hobbs    50.5%   1,216,325  25,181
GOP  Kari Lake     49.5%   1,191,144
XNA  Write-ins        0%              0
 TOTALS  100.00%   2,407,469

U.S. SENATE:
Data via RealClear Politics

So far: Democrats=50 vs. Republicans=49.

Pending race: 1
GEORGIA goes to runoff election.
– Georgia will have a runoff election between Republican Herschel Walker and Democrat Sen. Raphael Warnock on December 6, 2022, because none of the candidates received more than 50% of the vote.
Note People who voted for the libertarian on the ballot helped Warnock and hurt Walker.

GeorgiaSenateWalkerWarnock2022-11-14at7.55-PM-ET

GEORGIA: RealClearPolitics
Final Results 98.9% Reporting % Votes Difference
Dem  Raphael Warnock   49.4%  1,942,118  35,289
GOP  Herschel Walker   48.5%  1,906,829
LIB  Chase Oliver      2.1%       81,206
XNA Write-ins       0%         1,568
TOTALS  100.0%  3,931,721

U.S. HOUSE
FOR HOUSE MAJORITY
218 needed to win majority of the 435 seats.

Democrats Republicans Source
204
205
212 RealClearPolitics
204 212 Fox News
203 212 The Associated Press/Google

Pending races: 
Data via RealClear Politics

State District Democrat Republican % Reporting
1 Alaska AK District 1 Peltola 47.3 Palin 26.6  72%
2 Arizona AZ District 1 Hodge 49.9 Schweikert 50.1  96%
3 AZ District 6 Engel 49.5 Ciscomani 50.5  99%
4 California CA District 3 Jones 47.0 Kiley 53.0  51%
5 CA District 9 Harder 56.3 Patti 43.7  36%
6 CA District 13 Gray 49.9 Duarte 50.1  46%
7 CA District 21 Costa 54.6 Maher 45.4  49%
8 CA District 22 Salas 47.5 Valadao 52.5  39%
9 CA District 27 Smith 45.6 Garcia 54.4  58%
10 CA District 34 Gomez 52.4  46%
11 CA District 41 Rollins 48.7 Calvert 51.3  59%
12 CA District 45 Chen 46.2 Steel 53.8  67%
13 CA District 47 Porter 50.6 Baugh 49.4  78%
14 CA District 49 Levin 52.3 Maryott 47.7  81%
15 Colorado: CO District 3 Frisch 49.8 Boebert 50.2  99%
CO District 8 Caraveo 48.4 Kirkmeyer 47.7  97%
16 Maine: ME District 2 Golden 49.2 Poliquin 43.9  88%
New Mexico: NM District 2 Vasquez 50.3 Herrell 49.7  99%
Nevada: NV District 3 Lee 51.6 Becker 48.4 94%
17 New York: NY District 22 Conole 49.2 Williams 50.7 98%
Oregon: OR District 5 McLeod-Skinner 48.7 Chavez-DeRemer 51.2 96%
18 OR District 6 Salinas 50.0 Erickson 47.7 87%
Washington: WA District 3 Gluesenkamp Perez 50.2 Kent 49.2 99%

Posted in Elections | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Pending Midterm Election Results (Nov. 13, 2022)

Posted by FactReal on November 13, 2022

These are the pending election results as of Nov. 13, 2022, @ 6PM ET.
We’ll update this page as new info comes in.

Recap from yesterday evening: The media called the winner in the Arizona race for U.S. Senator: Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto

NEVADA: Votes are still being processed: 97.6% reporting

ARIZONA: Votes are still being processed: 89.6% reporting
The media already called the Arizona Senate race for Democrat Mark Kelly, but votes/ballots are still being processed:

PENDING RACES

GOVERNORS
So far:Democrats=23 vs. Republicans=25.
Pending races: 2
Alaska: Gara 23.1 Dunleavy 52.1 (72%)
Arizona: Hobbs 50.8 Lake 49.2 (89%)

U.S. SENATE

Alaska: (71% Reporting)

U.S. HOUSE
FOR HOUSE MAJORITY
218 needed to win majority of the 435 seats.

Pending races = 19

Data via RealClearPolitics
AK District 1
Peltola 47.3Palin 26.6 (72% reporting)

AZ District 1
Hodge 50.4Schweikert 49.6(90% rptg.)

AZ District 6
Engel 49.7Ciscomani 50.3(93% rptg.)

CA District 3
Jones 47.0Kiley 53.0(51% rptg.)

CA District 9
Harder 56.3Patti 43.7(36% rptg.)

CA District 13
Gray 49.9Duarte 50.1(46% rptg.)

CA District 21
Costa 54.6Maher 45.4(49% rptg.)

CA District 22
Salas 47.5Valadao 52.5(39% rptg. )

CA District 27
Smith 44.6Garcia 55.4(53%rptg.)

CA District 34
Gomez 53.0(41% rptg.)

CA District 41
Rollins 49.3Calvert 50.7(53% rptg.)

CA District 45
Chen 46.3Steel 53.7(63%)

CA District 47
Porter 51.3Baugh 48.7(72% rptg.)

CA District 49
Levin 52.3Maryott 47.7(75%)

CO District 3
Frisch 49.8Boebert 50.2(99%)

ME District 2
Golden 49.2Poliquin 43.9(88%)

NM District 2
Vasquez 50.3Herrell 49.7(99%)

NY District 22
Conole 49.2Williams 50.7 (94% reporting)

OR District 6
Salinas 49.8Erickson 47.9 (80% rptg.)

Posted in Elections | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »